Air Force
W-L: ( 5- 8) PR = 73.2860Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 830 H Bucknell 49-13 913 A Utah St MIDW ( 6- 6, 76.6) 30-49 920 H Boise State MIDW ( 9- 4, 80.9) 37-49 927 H Hawaii MIDW ( 8- 4, 78.0) 35-44 1004 A Navy AME ( 9- 2, 80.5) 31-34 1011 A UNLV MIDW ( 8- 4, 76.7) 48-51 1018 H Wyoming MIDW ( 5- 7, 71.6) 24-21 1101 H Army AME ( 6- 5, 77.9) 17-20 1108 A San Jose St MIDW ( 3- 9, 70.0) 26-16 1115 A UConn IND ( 9- 3, 76.5) 16-26 1122 H New Mexico MIDW ( 9- 3, 78.6) 3-20 1128 A Colorado St MIDW ( 2-11, 66.8) 42-21 1129 A Colorado St MIDW ( 2-11, 66.8) 42-21
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
913 A Utah St 30-49 -19 -6 --- -8.03
920 H Boise State 37-49 -12 -5 --- -7.06
927 H Hawaii 35-44 -9 -2 --- -6.93
1004 A Navy 31-34 -3 -10 +++ 6.93
1011 A UNLV 48-51 -3 -6 + 3.13
1018 H Wyoming 24-21 3 4 -1.33
1101 H Army 17-20 -3 -2 -1.07
1108 A San Jose St 26-16 10 1 +++ 9.44
1115 A UConn 16-26 -10 -6 -- -4.14
1122 H New Mexico 3-20 -17 -3 --- -11.38
1128 A Colorado St 42-21 21 4 +++ 10.23
1129 A Colorado St 42-21 21 4 +++ 10.23
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 913 A Utah St 30-49 -19 -6 --- -8.03 920 H Boise State 37-49 -12 -5 --- -7.06 927 H Hawaii 35-44 -9 -2 --- -6.93 1122 H New Mexico 3-20 -17 -3 --- -11.38 1115 A UConn 16-26 -10 -6 -- -4.14 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1004 A Navy 31-34 -3 -10 +++ 6.93 1108 A San Jose St 26-16 10 1 +++ 9.44 1128 A Colorado St 42-21 21 4 +++ 10.23 1129 A Colorado St 42-21 21 4 +++ 10.23 1011 A UNLV 48-51 -3 -6 + 3.13 |
Air Force Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boston Col ` | Air Force | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Air Force | |
| California | California | California | ||
| Clemson | Clemson | Clemson | ||
| Duke | Duke | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Duke | |
| Florida St | Florida St | Florida St | ||
| Georgia Tech | Georgia Tech | Georgia Tech | ||
| Louisville | Louisville | Louisville | ||
| Miami | Miami | Miami | ||
| UNC | UNC | UNC | ||
| NC St | NC St | NC St | ||
| Pittsburgh | Pittsburgh | Pittsburgh | ||
| SMU | SMU | SMU | ||
| Stanford | Stanford | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Stanford | |
| Syracuse | Air Force | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Air Force | |
| Virginia | Virginia | Virginia | ||
| Va Tech | Air Force | Air Force | ||
| Wake Forest | Wake Forest | Wake Forest | ||
| Army | Army | Army | ||
| Charlotte | Air Force | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Air Force | |
| Ea Carolina | Ea Carolina | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Ea Carolina | |
| Fla Atlantic | Air Force | tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) | Air Force | |
| Memphis | Memphis | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Memphis | |
| Navy | Navy | Navy | ||
| No Texas | No Texas | No Texas 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Rice | Air Force | insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) | Air Force | |
| So Florida | So Florida | insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) | So Florida | |
| Temple | Temple | tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) | Temple | |
| Tulane | Tulane | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Tulane | |
| Tulsa | Air Force | insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) | Air Force | |
| UAB | Air Force | tied - ( 0- 3) ( 0- 3) | Air Force | |
| UTSA | UTSA | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | UTSA | |
| Arizona | Arizona | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Arizona | |
| Arizona St | Arizona St | Arizona St | ||
| BYU | BYU | BYU | ||
| Baylor | Baylor | Baylor | ||
| Cincinnati | Cincinnati | Cincinnati | ||
| Colorado | Colorado | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Colorado | |
| Houston | Houston | Houston | ||
| Iowa St | Iowa St | Iowa St | ||
| Kansas | Kansas | Kansas | ||
| Kansas St | Kansas St | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Kansas St | |
| Oklahoma St | Air Force | Air Force | ||
| TCU | TCU | TCU | ||
| Texas Tech | Texas Tech | Texas Tech | ||
| UCF | Air Force | Air Force | ||
| Utah | Utah | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Utah | |
| We Virginia | We Virginia | We Virginia | ||
| Illinois | Illinois | Illinois | ||
| Indiana | Indiana | Indiana | ||
| Iowa | Iowa | Iowa | ||
| Maryland | Maryland | Maryland | ||
| Michigan | Michigan | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Michigan | |
| Michigan St | Michigan St | Michigan St | ||
| Minnesota | Minnesota | Minnesota | ||
| Nebraska | Nebraska | Nebraska | ||
| Northwestern | Northwestern | Northwestern | ||
| Ohio St | Ohio St | Ohio St | ||
| Oregon | Oregon | Oregon | ||
| Penn St | Penn St | Penn St | ||
| Purdue | Purdue | Purdue | ||
| Rutgers | Rutgers | Rutgers | ||
| UCLA | UCLA | tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) | UCLA | |
| USC | USC | USC | ||
| Washington | Washington | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Washington | |
| Wisconsin | Wisconsin | Wisconsin | ||
| Florida Intl | Air Force | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Air Force | |
| Jacksonv. St | Air Force | Air Force | ||
| Kennesaw St | Kennesaw St | Kennesaw St | ||
| Liberty | Air Force | Air Force | ||
| La Tech | La Tech | La Tech | ||
| Middle Tenn | Air Force | Air Force | ||
| NM St | Air Force | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Air Force | |
| SHouston St | Air Force | tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) | Air Force | |
| UTEP | Air Force | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Air Force | |
| We Kentucky | We Kentucky | We Kentucky | ||
| UMass | Air Force | Air Force | ||
| Notre Dame | Notre Dame | Notre Dame 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| UConn | UConn | UConn | ||
| Akron | Air Force | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Air Force | |
| Ball St | Air Force | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Air Force | |
| Bowl. Green | Air Force | Air Force | ||
| Buffalo | Air Force | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Air Force | |
| Cen Michigan | Cen Michigan | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Cen Michigan | |
| Ea Michigan | Air Force | Air Force | ||
| Kent State | Air Force | Air Force | ||
| MiamiOH | MiamiOH | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | MiamiOH | |
| No Illinois | Air Force | Air Force | ||
| Ohio | Ohio | Ohio | ||
| Toledo | Toledo | Toledo | ||
| We Michigan | We Michigan | We Michigan | ||
| Boise State | Boise State | Boise State | ||
| Colorado St | Air Force | Air Force | ||
| Fresno St | Fresno St | insuffient: ( 3- 3)( 4- 2) | Fresno St | |
| Hawaii | Hawaii | Hawaii | ||
| Nevada | Air Force | tied - ( 2- 4) ( 2- 4) | Air Force | |
| New Mexico | New Mexico | New Mexico | ||
| San Diego St | San Diego St | insuffient: ( 3- 3)( 4- 2) | San Diego St | |
| San Jose St | Air Force | Air Force | ||
| UNLV | UNLV | UNLV | ||
| Utah St | Utah St | Utah St | ||
| Wyoming | Air Force | Air Force | ||
| Oregon St | Air Force | Air Force | ||
| Wash St | Wash St | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Wash St | |
| Alabama | Alabama | Alabama | ||
| Arkansas | Arkansas | Arkansas | ||
| Auburn | Auburn | Auburn | ||
| Florida | Florida | Florida | ||
| Georgia | Georgia | Georgia | ||
| Kentucky | Kentucky | Kentucky | ||
| LSU | LSU | LSU | ||
| Missouri | Missouri | Missouri | ||
| Miss St | Miss St | Miss St | ||
| Oklahoma | Oklahoma | Oklahoma | ||
| Ole Miss | Ole Miss | Ole Miss | ||
| So Carolina | So Carolina | So Carolina | ||
| Tennessee | Tennessee | Tennessee | ||
| Texas | Texas | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Texas | |
| Texas A&M | Texas A&M | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Texas A&M | |
| Vanderbilt | Vanderbilt | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Vanderbilt | |
| App St | Air Force | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Air Force | |
| Arkansas State | Air Force | Air Force | ||
| Coastal Car | Air Force | Air Force | ||
| Georgia So | Air Force | Air Force | ||
| Georgia St | Air Force | Air Force | ||
| J Madison | J Madison | J Madison | ||
| Louisiana | Air Force | Air Force | ||
| Marshall | Air Force | Air Force | ||
| Old Dominion | Old Dominion | Old Dominion | ||
| So Miss | Air Force | Air Force | ||
| So Alabama | Air Force | Air Force | ||
| Texas State | Texas State | Texas State | ||
| Troy | Air Force | Air Force | ||
| La-Monroe | Air Force | Air Force | ||
| Delaware | Air Force | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Air Force | |
| Missouri St | Air Force | Air Force |
PowerWise = 43
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 12.13
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 A Utah St ( 6- 6, 76.6) 30-49 -23.32 23.83 2.67 1.01 -10.44
0 H Boise State ( 9- 4, 80.9) 37-49 -19.00 28.15 -2.67 1.01 -10.96
0 H Hawaii ( 8- 4, 78.0) 35-44 -21.87 25.28 -2.67 1.01 -12.41
0 A Navy ( 9- 2, 80.5) 31-34 -19.36 27.79 2.67 1.01 -8.43
0 A UNLV ( 8- 4, 76.7) 48-51 -23.16 23.99 2.67 1.01 -10.36
0 H Wyoming ( 5- 7, 71.6) 24-21 -28.27 18.88 -2.67 1.01 32.77
0 H Army ( 6- 5, 77.9) 17-20 -22.01 25.14 -2.67 1.01 -12.48
0 A San Jose St ( 3- 9, 70.0) 26-16 -29.85 17.30 2.67 1.01 40.39
0 A UConn ( 9- 3, 76.5) 16-26 -23.43 23.72 2.67 1.01 -10.49
0 H New Mexico ( 9- 3, 78.6) 3-20 -21.32 25.83 -2.67 1.01 -12.13
0 A Colorado St ( 2-11, 66.8) 42-21 -33.06 14.09 2.67 1.01 33.90
0 A Colorado St ( 2-11, 66.8) 42-21 -33.06 14.09 2.67 1.01 33.90
------
53.26
|
winning pts = 140.9566 losing points = -87.6965
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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